{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 1, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "printyellow (generic function with 1 method)" ] }, "execution_count": 1, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "using Printf, Dates, Statistics, DelimitedFiles, StatsBase\n", "\n", "include(\"jlFiles/printmat.jl\")" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 2, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "using Plots\n", "\n", "gr(size=(480,320))\n", "default(fmt = :svg)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "# Load Data" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 3, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "(10340, 25)" ] }, "execution_count": 3, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "x = readdlm(\"Data/25_Portfolios_5x5_Daily.CSV\",',',skipstart=1) #daily return data\n", "ym = round.(Int,x[:,1]) #yearmonthday, like 20071231\n", "\n", "dN = Date.(string.(ym),\"yyyymmdd\") #covert to Julia date, eg. 2001-12-31\n", "\n", "\n", "vv = Date(1980,1,1) .<= dN .<= Date(2020,12,31) #pick out the correct sample\n", "ym = ym[vv]\n", "R = x[vv,2:end] #returns\n", "\n", "(T,n) = size(R) #number of data points, number of assets" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "# Task 1: Two Simple Strategies\n", "\n", "`R_1`: go long each of asset 1-24 (each with the weight 1/24) and short asset 25\n", "\n", "`R_2`: go long asset 1 and short asset 25\n", "\n", "The returns of these portfolios are easy to calculate without having to explicitly construct the portfolio weights, but it still a good preparation for later to do the explicit calculations as follows:\n", "\n", "1. Construct the vector of portfolio weights `w`\n", "2. The portfolio return in `t` is `w'*R[t,:]`.\n", "\n", "Also, do not be afraid of loops: they are quick.\n", "\n", "Show means and standard deviations of the two strategies. Annualize the mean by `*252` and the standard deviation by `*sqrt(252)`.\n", "\n", "Plot histograms with bins that are 0.25 wide. (Don't annualize anything in the histograms.)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "# Task 2: Another Trading Strategy\n", "\n", "We now do simple volatility based trading strategy.\n", "\n", "1. Find the 3 least volatile assets over `t-22:t-1` and give each a portfolio weight `w[t,i]=1/3`. \n", "\n", "2. Find the 3 most volatile assets over `t-22:t-1` and give each a portfolio weight `w[t,i]=-1/3`. \n", "\n", "3. The portfolio return in `t` is `w[t,:]'*R[t,:]`.\n", "\n", "4. Compare the average and std (annualized) with the previous portfolios, over periods `23:T`\n", "\n", "Hint: `v = sortperm(x)` gives indices such that `v[1:2]` are the indices of the lowest 2 elements in x. Try `sortperm([12,11,13])` to see." ] } ], "metadata": { "@webio": { "lastCommId": null, "lastKernelId": null }, "anaconda-cloud": {}, "kernelspec": { "display_name": "Julia 1.6.2", "language": "julia", "name": "julia-1.6" }, "language_info": { "file_extension": ".jl", "mimetype": "application/julia", "name": "julia", "version": "1.6.2" } }, "nbformat": 4, "nbformat_minor": 1 }